Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Minsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Arsenal are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Minsk are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Minsk hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 53.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Premier League, while FC Minsk holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Minsk
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
FC Minsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20