Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Gomel · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Arsenal are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Gomel are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Gomel hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Premier League, while FC Gomel holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Gomel
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
FC Gomel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60