Arsenal TulavsTorpedo Moskva

Arsenal Tula are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Torpedo Moskva are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Torpedo Moskva hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the First League, while Torpedo Moskva holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.