GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal Tula · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arsenal Tula are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rodina Moskva II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Tula hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (82.7 v 55.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Arsenal Tula holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arsenal Tula

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Arsenal Tula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal TulaWLLDD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Rodina Moskva IILDWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Arsenal TulaRodina Moskva II
86.7Attack41.7
73.3Defence75.0
86.7Form50.0
82.7Power55.9
2.18xG1.04
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