Arsenal TulavsFK Neftekhimik

Arsenal Tula are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FK Neftekhimik are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Tula hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 35.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the First League, while Arsenal Tula holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.