GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 6/14/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rodina Moskva III · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Arsenal Tula II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Rodina Moskva III are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodina Moskva III hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (29.7 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Rodina Moskva III holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rodina Moskva III

Probability

65.6%

Model confidence

65.6%

Rodina Moskva III has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal Tula IILDLLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Rodina Moskva IIIWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Arsenal Tula IIRodina Moskva III
29.8Attack61.4
28.1Defence42.1
21.1Form42.1
29.7Power47.1
1.06xG2.55
View match centre →