Arsenal Tula IIvs
Avangard Kursk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avangard Kursk · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Arsenal Tula II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Avangard Kursk are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and avangard Kursk hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (28.8 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 3, favouring Avangard Kursk with 12.7% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avangard Kursk
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
12.7%
Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 18 · avg 0.40/3.60
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40