GGOALVIO

Montenegro · First League · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Buducnost Podgorica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Arsenal Tivat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Buducnost Podgorica are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Buducnost Podgorica hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (43.6 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the First League, while Buducnost Podgorica holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Buducnost Podgorica

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

11.8%

Buducnost Podgorica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arsenal TivatDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Buducnost PodgoricaLDWDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Arsenal TivatBuducnost Podgorica
39.8Attack61.1
46.3Defence60.2
38.9Form56.5
43.6Power59.2
0.97xG1.88
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