AroucavsMoreirense

Arouca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Moreirense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Arouca hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Primeira Liga, while Arouca holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.