GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MSV Duisburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arminia Bielefeld are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 6.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MSV Duisburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and MSV Duisburg hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while MSV Duisburg holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MSV Duisburg

Probability

43.0%

Model confidence

43.0%

MSV Duisburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arminia BielefeldWWWWW

GF 30 · GA 4 · avg 6.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
MSV DuisburgLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Arminia BielefeldMSV Duisburg
50.0Attack95.2
62.5Defence76.2
58.3Form66.7
57.3Power74.6
1.17xG1.84
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