GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arminia Bielefeld · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arminia Bielefeld are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hansa Rostock are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arminia Bielefeld hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Arminia Bielefeld holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arminia Bielefeld

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Arminia Bielefeld has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arminia BielefeldDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hansa RostockDWDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Arminia BielefeldHansa Rostock
50.0Attack63.0
62.5Defence51.9
58.3Form40.7
57.3Power49.7
1.67xG1.38
View match centre →