GGOALVIO

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/16/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Energie Cottbus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Arminia Bielefeld are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Energie Cottbus are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Energie Cottbus hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the 2. Bundesliga, while Energie Cottbus holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Energie Cottbus

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

11.5%

Energie Cottbus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arminia BielefeldLWLDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Energie CottbusWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Arminia BielefeldEnergie Cottbus
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power88.7
1.34xG1.82
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