Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceArlanda are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Piteå are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.7 against 52.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Ettan - Norra, favouring a draw with 13.1% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
27.7%
Model confidence
13.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArlandaLLWWW
GF 16 · GA 13 · avg 3.20/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PiteåWLWDD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ArlandaPiteå
53.3Attack45.6
46.7Defence57.8
46.7Form47.8
50.7Power52.1
1.47xG1.36