Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Arlanda are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Haninge are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Arlanda hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Arlanda holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arlanda
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 22 · GA 4 · avg 4.40/0.80