Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Arkadag are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nebitci are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 53.9-point power-rating edge (89.8 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.0% in the Ýokary Liga, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
90.0%
Model confidence
90.0%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 2 · avg 5.00/0.40
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80