Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
17%
HighconfidenceArkadag are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Merw are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 62.8-point power-rating edge (89.8 v 27.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely result in the Ýokary Liga, favouring Arkadag with 17.4% confidence, a 35% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
94.2%
Model confidence
17.4%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ArkadagWWWWW
GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
MerwWLLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ArkadagMerw
100.0Attack33.3
84.4Defence8.9
95.6Form31.1
89.8Power27.0
4.50xG0.44