Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Arkadag are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Merw are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 62.8-point power-rating edge (89.8 v 27.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.7% in the Ýokary Liga, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
93.7%
Model confidence
93.7%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60