Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Arkadag are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Şagadam are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (89.8 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.8% in the Ýokary Liga, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 87% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
86.8%
Model confidence
86.8%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80