GGOALVIO

Poland · I Liga · 8/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arka Gdynia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Arka Gdynia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Puszcza Niepołomice are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arka Gdynia hold a 47.3-point power-rating edge (92.8 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the I Liga, while Arka Gdynia holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arka Gdynia

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

12.2%

Arka Gdynia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arka GdyniaLWWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Puszcza NiepołomiceWLLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Arka GdyniaPuszcza Niepołomice
83.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
92.8Power45.5
1.79xG0.94
View match centre →