Arges Pitestivs
Petrolul Ploiesti
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga I · 7/24/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Arges Pitesti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Petrolul Ploiesti are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arges Pitesti hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 51.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Liga I, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20