GGOALVIO

Romania · Liga I · 8/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arges Pitesti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Arges Pitesti are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Farul Constanta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arges Pitesti hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (64.5 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Liga I, while Arges Pitesti holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arges Pitesti

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

14.7%

Arges Pitesti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arges PitestiWWWLD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Farul ConstantaWDWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Arges PitestiFarul Constanta
25.0Attack66.7
83.3Defence50.0
75.0Form58.3
64.5Power60.3
1.16xG1.08
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