Argentino Quilmesvs
Real Pilar
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Argentino Quilmes are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Real Pilar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Pilar hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (47.2 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 27.3% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
27.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40