ArezzovsUnion Brescia

Arezzo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Union Brescia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arezzo hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Coppa Italia, while Arezzo holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.