GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aresimi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Aresimi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.80 conceded, while Kozuv Gevgelija are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aresimi hold a 28.4-point power-rating edge (62.9 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aresimi holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aresimi

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

53.7%

Aresimi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AresimiLLLLD

GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Kozuv GevgelijaDDDWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AresimiKozuv Gevgelija
76.2Attack41.7
47.6Defence25.0
61.9Form33.3
62.9Power34.5
3.07xG1.33
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