GGOALVIO

Macedonia · First League · 8/14/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bashkimi Kumanovo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Aresimi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bashkimi Kumanovo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bashkimi Kumanovo hold a 40.2-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the First League, while Bashkimi Kumanovo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bashkimi Kumanovo

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

12.6%

Bashkimi Kumanovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AresimiLWWDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bashkimi KumanovoLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AresimiBashkimi Kumanovo
50.5Attack66.7
46.5Defence100.0
46.5Form100.0
48.5Power88.7
1.30xG1.63
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