Arda Kardzhalivs
Slavia Sofia
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 7/24/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Arda Kardzhali are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Slavia Sofia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arda Kardzhali hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20