GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 7/24/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Arda Kardzhali are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Slavia Sofia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arda Kardzhali hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

38.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Arda KardzhaliDLDLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Slavia SofiaDWWWW

GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
41.7Attack33.3
75.0Defence83.3
58.3Form41.7
60.3Power52.8
1.08xG0.81
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