Arda Kardzhalivs
Lokomotiv Sofia
SCHEDULEDBulgaria · First League · 8/17/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arda Kardzhali · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Arda Kardzhali are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lokomotiv Sofia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Arda Kardzhali hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (60.3 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the First League, while Arda Kardzhali holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arda Kardzhali
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
14.7%
Arda Kardzhali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00