GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arbroath · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Arbroath are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Stirling Albion are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arbroath hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the League Cup, while Arbroath holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arbroath

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Arbroath has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ArbroathLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Stirling AlbionLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ArbroathStirling Albion
25.0Attack25.0
50.0Defence58.3
50.0Form25.0
45.2Power37.8
1.34xG1.14
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