Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Arbroath are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while ST Mirren are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Mirren hold a 26.0-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while ST Mirren holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00