Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Araz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Imisli FK are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.0 against 39.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.9% in the Premyer Liqa, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
24.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20