GGOALVIO

Ararat logoAraratvsSardarapat logoSardarapat

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Armenia · Premier League · 8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sardarapat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ararat are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sardarapat are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sardarapat hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.3% in the Premier League, while Sardarapat holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sardarapat

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

54.3%

Sardarapat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AraratLWDDD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SardarapatWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
AraratSardarapat
16.7Attack100.0
16.7Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
16.3Power89.7
1.19xG2.09
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