GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ararat-Armenia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ararat-Armenia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shamrock Rovers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 52.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the UEFA Champions League, while Ararat-Armenia holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ararat-Armenia

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ararat-ArmeniaLWDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Shamrock RoversWWLWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ararat-ArmeniaShamrock Rovers
50.0Attack58.3
55.6Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.2Power52.1
1.61xG1.36
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