Ararat-ArmeniavsRiga

Ararat-Armenia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Riga are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ararat-Armenia hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the UEFA Champions League, while Ararat-Armenia holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.