GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 6/20/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ararat-Armenia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ararat-Armenia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mura are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mura hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ararat-Armenia holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ararat-Armenia

Probability

33.9%

Model confidence

33.9%

Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ararat-ArmeniaWWLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MuraLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ararat-ArmeniaMura
16.7Attack43.1
44.4Defence45.1
27.8Form37.3
33.2Power43.9
1.37xG1.36
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