GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ararat-Armenia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ararat-Armenia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while HIK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HIK hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ararat-Armenia holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ararat-Armenia

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

35.1%

Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ararat-ArmeniaLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HIKLWDLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Ararat-ArmeniaHIK
16.7Attack54.2
44.4Defence29.2
27.8Form33.3
33.2Power38.3
1.70xG1.68
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