Ararat-Armeniavs
Celje
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ararat-Armenia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ararat-Armenia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Celje are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 51.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the UEFA Champions League, while Ararat-Armenia holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ararat-Armenia
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Ararat-Armenia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80