GGOALVIO

Armenia · First League · 8/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BKMA II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ararat-Armenia II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while BKMA II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and BKMA II hold a 48.5-point power-rating edge (22.9 v 71.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the First League, while BKMA II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

BKMA II

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

BKMA II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ararat-Armenia IILLLWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BKMA IIWLDWW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ararat-Armenia IIBKMA II
0.0Attack66.7
55.6Defence88.9
0.0Form66.7
22.9Power71.4
1.22xG1.86
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