Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aral · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Aral are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shortan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aral hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (80.7 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the Pro League A, while Aral holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aral
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Aral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60