Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aral · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Aral are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while BuxDu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aral hold a 51.3-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.3% in the Pro League A, while Aral holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aral
Probability
93.5%
Model confidence
17.3%
Aral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40