GGOALVIO

Armenia · First League · 8/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Araks Ararat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Araks Ararat are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ararat II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Araks Ararat hold a 76.5-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 12.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the First League, while Araks Ararat holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Araks Ararat

Probability

64.2%

Model confidence

64.2%

Araks Ararat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Araks AraratLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ararat IILLLLL

GF 1 · GA 21 · avg 0.20/4.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Araks AraratArarat II
100.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power12.2
2.64xG1.19
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