GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 5/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Aragvi Dusheti are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Telavi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Telavi hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aragvi DushetiDWDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
TelaviLDDWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Aragvi DushetiTelavi
46.5Attack36.7
53.5Defence75.0
43.9Form60.0
49.4Power59.0
0.77xG0.96
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