Aragvi Dushetivs
Samtredia
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aragvi Dusheti are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Samtredia are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and aragvi Dusheti hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (46.4 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Erovnuli Liga 2, favouring a draw with 13.9% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.1%
Model confidence
13.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60