GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 3/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aragvi Dusheti are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Samtredia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.4 against 49.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

35.6%

Model confidence

35.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aragvi DushetiWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SamtrediaLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Aragvi DushetiSamtredia
46.5Attack40.7
53.5Defence61.1
43.9Form42.6
49.4Power49.4
1.17xG1.04
View match centre →