GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Segunda División · 5/9/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Aragua FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Atletico Avila FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aragua FC hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 12% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

43.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aragua FCDWLDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico Avila FCLWDDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aragua FCAtletico Avila FC
27.5Attack16.7
76.5Defence70.8
47.1Form27.1
53.0Power41.1
0.53xG0.32
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