GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Western Sydney W. II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.6% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

64.6%

Model confidence

64.6%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Western Sydney W. IILWWWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersWestern Sydney W. II
73.8Attack61.9
60.7Defence46.4
76.2Form41.7
71.6Power48.7
2.76xG1.25
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