GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 7/25/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while UNSW are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
UNSWWWWLL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersUNSW
73.8Attack46.9
60.7Defence44.4
76.2Form38.3
71.6Power44.3
2.90xG0.94
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