GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/19/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sydney Olympic are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 38.6-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

87.6%

Model confidence

12.3%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sydney OlympicLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersSydney Olympic
73.8Attack36.9
60.7Defence28.6
76.2Form26.2
71.6Power32.9
3.85xG0.71
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