GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SD Raiders are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.5% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

70.8%

Model confidence

9.5%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersDWWWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
SD RaidersWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersSD Raiders
72.8Attack50.6
60.5Defence45.7
75.3Form46.9
70.9Power49.4
2.74xG1.04
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