GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 2/14/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.8% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

APIA Leichhardt TigersLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NWS SpiritWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersNWS Spirit
73.8Attack41.7
60.7Defence56.0
76.2Form44.0
71.6Power48.0
2.27xG0.84
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