AparecidensevsLuverdense

Aparecidense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Luverdense are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Luverdense hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 51.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.